USD/INR RECOVERS SOME LOST GROUND AHEAD OF US GDP DATA

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  • Indian Rupee weakens amid USD demand.
  • USD/INR is likely to remain confined in a narrow range due to the USD inflows and the potential intervention from the RBI. 
  • Investors await the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4, due on Wednesday. 

Indian Rupee (INR) trades in negative territory on Tuesday amid dip-buying demand in the US Dollar (USD). The pair is expected to remain in a narrow trading range due to USD inflows from importers and the potential intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Some analysts said the Indian central bank bought the Dollar throughout last week to prevent the local currency from appreciating much amid continuing inflows.

INR is likely to have additional support from MSCI-rebalancing inflows. According to Nuvama Alternative & Quantitative Research, India is expected to see $1.2 billion in passive inflows into equities after MSCI's quarterly review, which begins on February 29.

Later this week, investors will monitor the remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, along with the release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), due on Thursday. On the Indian docket, the GDP annual growth numbers and Federal Fiscal Deficit will be released on Thursday. The Indian S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February will be published on Friday. 


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